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Gardner, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Gardner KS
National Weather Service Forecast for: Gardner KS
Issued by: National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
Updated: 5:43 pm CDT Jul 6, 2025
 
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 70. Light northeast wind.
Mostly Clear

Monday

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the morning.
Mostly Sunny

Monday
Night
Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. South southeast wind 3 to 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Partly Cloudy
then Chance
T-storms
Tuesday

Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny, with a high near 87. South wind around 6 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
T-storms
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
Showers
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 89.
Sunny

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 70.
Mostly Clear

Thursday

Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 91.
Sunny

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 73.
Partly Cloudy

Lo 70 °F Hi 88 °F Lo 70 °F Hi 87 °F Lo 69 °F Hi 89 °F Lo 70 °F Hi 91 °F Lo 73 °F

 

Tonight
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 70. Light northeast wind.
Monday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the morning.
Monday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. South southeast wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. South wind around 6 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 89.
Wednesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 70.
Thursday
 
Sunny, with a high near 91.
Thursday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 73.
Friday
 
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday
 
Partly sunny, with a high near 84.
Saturday Night
 
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
 
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Gardner KS.

Weather Forecast Discussion
905
FXUS63 KEAX 062326
AFDEAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
626 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered storms this afternoon with gusty winds and brief very
  heavy rainfall possible.

- Multiple chances for showers and storms this week with the most
  likely period Tuesday.

- Near normal temperatures for the next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 308 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

A weak cold front is moving southward through the forecast area this
afternoon. As of 19Z, this front is located roughly from near
Moberly to between Harrisonville and Olathe. The front will serve as
the primary focus for storms, though additional storms will develop
or have already developed ahead of it where convective inhibition
has eroded in the heat and humidity of the day. Shear is very weak,
so the threat of any organized severe weather is nil. However, there
is ample moisture with precipitable water values of 1.7" to 1.9".
With some dry air aloft and steep lapse rates in the lowest 5000 ft
of the atmosphere, downdraft CAPE values are in excess 1000 J/kg,
which may support some gusty winds at the surface. Locally very
heavy rainfall is also possible given the ample moisture in the
atmosphere. The cold front is forecast to move south of the forecast
area early this evening and that, combined with loss of daytime
heating, should lead to storms ending and/or moving south of our
forecast area.

One other item to note in the near-term, is the MCS currently in
central Nebraska. This system has reinvigorated in the warmth of the
afternoon. Mean wind has this system propagating southeastward into
northwestern MO this evening/overnight. Models also suggest that a
weak internal PV anomaly has been produced by the system, which may
help it propagate further east than forecast. Still, it seems
unlikely to survive given the weak low-level moisture transport into
it, weaker instability, and increasing inhibition as it does move
toward the forecast area. For now, will work under the premise that
this MCS will weaken before it moves into northwestern MO.

The next decent chance for showers and storms will come Tuesday.
Upper-level ridging will strengthen over the western US. This will
force a more northwesterly flow regime over the middle of country.
Models show a shortwave trough moving through the area Tuesday.
Strong mid-level moisture transport into the area and MUCAPE values
in the 2500 to 3500 J/kg range will support the potential for robust
convection. With better deep-layer shear, though still somewhat
weak, the potential for more organized convection is better,
though still not great. And with continued high precipitable
water values of 1.7" to 1.9", the potential for heavy rain will
exist with this activity. Overall, it looks like multicells with
gusty winds and heavy rain. The timing of the shortwave being
before peak heating may limit the intensity and/or coverage of
storms, especially across northern MO.

Ensembles continue to show low end PoPs (15-30%) on nearly a daily
basis with northwesterly flow and the possibility of embedded
disturbances moving through the flow. These have limited or no
predictability given they`re largely a result of upstream
convection. The next more notable chance for storms comes Friday
with another shortwave trough moving through the middle of the
country. This will push a weak front through the forecast area.
Ensemble guidance shows mean MUCAPE values near 2500 J/kg. Mean deep-
layer shear continues to look weak with values near 20kts across the
forecast area. Given the parameters and the potential for a front to
move through an unstable airmass, PoPs in the 25-45% range look
reasonable at this time for Friday.

Regarding temperatures, normal highs for this time of year are in
the upper 80s. Forecast highs are within a few degrees of our normal
high for the next week, so we`ll continue to see seasonal
temperatures through the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 622 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

Isolated to scattered storms are possible early this evening
across central Missouri mainly south of highway 50. Isolated
convection elsewhere should gradually decrease with sunset
tonight. Storms in NW Missouri are expected to impact STJ
terminal over the next few hours before dissipating. Expect
cumulus to return again on Monday, with the potential for an
isolated storm Monday afternoon.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CDB
AVIATION...BT
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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